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Reminder: Please pay attention to the employment report of Australia in November (including the number of employed people and unemployment rate) at 08: 30 (Beijing time below); ② At 16: 30, the Swiss National Bank announced the interest rate resolution; ③ At 17: 00, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the monthly crude oil market report; ④ 21:15 The European Central Bank announced the interest rate resolution (including main refinancing rate, deposit convenience rate and marginal lending rate); ⑤ PPI in November in the United States at 21: 30, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the week of December 7; ⑥ 21:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde held a press conference; 7 Broadcom released its performance report after the US stock market closed.Economic Daily: "Stabilizing the stock market" strongly guides the stabilization of expectations. The Economic Daily article said that the key to stabilizing the stock market is to stabilize confidence. Recently, the stock market has been active in trading, and investors' confidence in the economic improvement and corporate profits has improved. All parties look forward to leveraging the stock market as the entry point to further stabilize the economy and steady growth. This expectation can only form a continuous positive feedback if it is mutually reinforced with the positive signals on the economic side. In the future, it is necessary to continue to improve the forward-looking, targeted and effective macro-control, urge all localities and departments to implement the defined policies and measures as soon as possible, solidly promote the economic upward, structural improvement and sustained development, and promote confidence boost and a virtuous circle and spiral rise in economic fundamentals.The position ETF--iShares Silver Trust, the world's largest silver ETF, decreased by 179.98 tons compared with the previous day, and the current position is 14,414.25 tons.

Newly issued loans exceeding one trillion yuan to support the financing coordination mechanism for small and micro enterprises have achieved results. On the 10th, I learned from the State Financial Supervision and Administration that since the launch of the financing coordination mechanism for small and micro enterprises in October this year, various localities and banks have responded quickly and achieved initial results. According to the data from the General Administration of Financial Supervision, by the end of November, all localities had visited 12.072 million small and micro business entities based on the working mechanism, of which 1.942 million were included in the "declaration list" and 1.303 million were included in the "recommendation list". Banks granted 2.2 trillion yuan of new credit and 1.2 trillion yuan of new loans to "recommended list" business entities.Microsoft expects to accrue about $800 million in impairment charges related to GM Cruise in the second fiscal quarter, and Microsoft expects to accrue about $800 million in impairment charges in the second fiscal quarter, which is related to the company's minority equity investment in GM Cruise. This will have a negative impact of about 9 cents on Microsoft's earnings per share in the second quarter.Market participants: In 2025, the steel industry may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. At the 2025 China steel market prospect and the annual meeting of "My Steel", whether the profit space of steel enterprises can be enlarged in 2025, whether the supply-side capacity will be withdrawn in an orderly manner, and what factors should be relied on for the long-term development of enterprises have become the minds of many participants. The industry believes that the survival pressure of steel enterprises may be eased in 2025. The upstream supply of iron ore, coke and coking coal will reduce their prices, and the cost of steel enterprises will fall. The market may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. Market participants said that although steel prices are still expected to decline in 2025, the profit margin of steel enterprises may increase. (SSE)

The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. Wang Menghan, an analyst at Zheshang Securities, said that compared with similar products, the advantages of money funds are tax exemption, liquidity and stable net value. Among them, for institutional customers, there are still tax exemption and liquidity demands, so there is little demand for reducing the holdings of money funds. However, for non-institutional investors, because the stability of the net value of the money fund will be obviously weakened, there is a demand to reduce the holdings of the money fund. (SSE)CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.